top of page

Sidelining




it needs to be said:


that is one of the hardest thing to do for a trader, because traders love the game and to be in it BUT not trading is trading

not having a position is a position

a position of protecting capital


since after all


you can't play without money


protecting this money

keeping the powder dry

is one of the key elements of trading



it is sentiment preps and daily calls that makes it a lot easier to change ones execution apprehensions about switching trading for a long time from the long side into opening shorts as well


otherwise one typically ends up missing the easier to enter prime entries on low risk and struggles with the accelerated second entries since they are from the short side a bit different Mindset and psychological blocks need management just like short term execution blocks


the turning point post from 1/11/25 was the initial reset to allow for the new directional change from a larger time frame system perspective


and from the wide daily double top of BTC all time new highs with its consecutive triple top breakout failure lead us into the first small size try outs from the short side


supported by more anticipation through repetition of the big picture scenario to now be more aggressive joining on a daily basis the dominant force no matter where the daily call leads us to this is a good example while larger time frame investors are typically come to the party late trading the very last train of confirmation of their plays more based out of FOMO rather than being through a process lead through a process chain for trade frequency and size of the markets newly found or better said newly exploring possibility of a trend change


the profits are not only one of psychological preparedness and easier execution but moreover one of much smaller risk on earlier entries that anticipate a change versus trading breakouts or confirmed later entries into a process that's already on its way




with all major support levels now broken:

1. directional support after triple top attempt

2. bottom line of rectangle after compression zone

3. directional support

4. sideways multi month phase, last major VPOC level


the likelihood of an immediate strong bounce has lessened and long entries rather after a pause indecision day are lesser risk


the probability that bears hold on to their reign has risen

Tags:

 

Comments


Stay Up-To-Date with New Posts

Search By Tags

bottom of page